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Weather Tightness, Elevated Futures, and Macro Volatility Shaping Trading Opportunities on the OSE

    Highlights
    • Seasonal production constraints and delayed post-rain recovery could support early-2026 prices.
    • OSE and SHFE rubber futures movements showed futures prices staying elevated longer with some parts of Thailand experiencing wintering. 
    • As the futures prices may react quickly to oil prices and other commodities prices, there could be arbitrage opportunities especially when looking at warehouse or delivery statistics which could be a proxy for demand or stockpiling.